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通过监测手段获取相关信息、数据，结合以往掌握的资料、情报等，运用逻辑推理和科学预测的方法和技术，对未来可能出现的某种突发事件风险因素、发展趋势和演变规律等做出预先的判断，并向相关组织和主管部门提供相应参数供其进行评价和试验，然后由政府主管部门依法预先对外发布信息，使公众提前了解可能出现的风险因素，以便尽早采取减灾防灾措施和对策，使突发事件造成的损失减少到最低程度。
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